A Summary, Review, & 3 Key Concepts of
How to Turn Big Visions into Triumphant Realities using tips from How Big Things Get Done by Bent Flyvbjerg, a Danish social scientist and professor of planning at the University of Oxford. The book offers insights into how projects and initiatives can be designed and executed effectively using a methodology known as Reference Class Forecasting (RCF). It is a must-read for anyone involved in small or large-scale projects, whether in business, government, or any other field.
3 Key Points
- Start with the biggest question of all, why?
- Before starting any large project, it is important to first understand why it is being undertaken, and what the ultimate goal is.
- This helps to ensure that everyone involved is on the same page, and that the project is being pursued for the right reasons.
- Think right to left: Start with goal, then create steps to get there
- Rather than starting with the steps needed to achieve a goal, it is more effective to start with the goal itself, and work backwards to identify the steps needed to get there.
- This approach helps to ensure that each step is aligned with the overall goal, and that the project stays on track.
- Plan slow, act fast.
Reference class forecasting RCF. Vulnerability increases as time goes by. Unknowns are sure to pop up as more time goes by. So take your time to plan carefully, then execute that plan fast.
- RCF is a methodology for estimating the time, cost, and risks associated with large projects, based on historical data from similar projects.
- By using RCF, project planners can identify potential risks and unknowns early on, and adjust their plans accordingly.
- This helps to minimize the chances of delays or cost overruns, and ensures that the project stays on track.
Strengths and Weaknesses
One strength of How Big Things Get Done is its emphasis on the importance of careful planning and forecasting in large-scale projects. The book offers valuable insights into the RCF methodology, which can help project planners identify potential risks and unknowns early on, and adjust their plans accordingly.
One weakness of the book is its somewhat academic tone and dense writing style. Some readers may need help to follow along with the author’s arguments or may be put off by the numerous technical terms and concepts used throughout the book.
Wrapping it Up
How Big Things Get Done is a valuable resource for anyone about to take on a project. The book’s emphasis on careful planning, goal-setting, and RCF forecasting can help ensure that projects stay on track and deliver the desired outcomes. While the book’s writing style may be challenging for some readers, its insights and recommendations are well worth the effort. I highly recommend this book to anyone involved in planning or executing large projects.
Rating: 4.5/5 stars. Highly recommended!
Take Advantage of Your New Knowledge
To apply the concepts from How Big Things Get Done to your own life or work, consider the following renovation example:
- Start with the biggest question of all, why?
- Before starting a home renovation, ask yourself why you want to do it. Is it to improve the functionality of your space or to increase the value of your property? Understanding your motivations can help guide your decisions throughout the renovation process.
- Think right to left: Start with goal, then create steps to get there
- Identify your ultimate goal for the renovation, such as creating an open-concept living space. Then, break down the steps needed to achieve that goal, such as knocking down walls, installing new flooring, and choosing furniture that fits the new space.
- Plan slow, act fast. Reference class forecasting RCF. Vulnerability increases as time goes by. Unknowns are sure to pop up as more time goes by. Planning and delivery
- Take the time to plan out your renovation carefully before jumping in. This includes researching contractors, setting a realistic budget, and creating a timeline for the project. Be prepared for unexpected issues that may arise during the renovation process, such as plumbing or electrical problems, by building some flexibility into your timeline and budget.
Applying the concepts from How Big Things Get Done to a home renovation project involves starting with the “why” by defining the purpose and goals of the renovation. Then, think right to left by beginning with the end goal and working backward to create a clear action plan with specific steps to achieve the desired outcome. Finally, planning slowly and acting fast by using reference class forecasting to anticipate potential obstacles and unknowns and making adjustments as needed. By following these actionable steps and applying these concepts, you can increase your chances of success and avoid common pitfalls in any project, big or small.
Buy How Big Things Get Done on Amazon
About the Author
Bent Flyvbjerg is a Danish academic and expert in project management. He is the author of several books on the subject, including “Megaprojects and Risk, The Oxford Handbook of Megaproject Management, and How Big Things Get Done. His work emphasizes the importance of starting with the big question, thinking right to left, and planning slowly but acting fast to achieve success. His expertise in project management and public policy makes him a respected authority in the field.
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